Boise State vs. Utah Predictions, Odds: Week 13 College Football Playoff Picks, Best Bets from a Proven Model

Albertsons Stadium features a game between strong Mountain West teams the day after Thanksgiving. The Boise State Broncos host the Utah State Aggies at the end of the regular season for both programs. Boise State is 8-3 overall and 7-0 in Mountain West play this season, clinching a spot in the Mountain West title game. Utah State is 6-5 overall and 5-2 in Mountain West play with an active three-game winning streak.

Caesars Sportsbook lists the Broncos as a 17-point favorite early in the afternoon ET. The total number of points Vegas thinks it will be scored, or more/less, is 51.5 in the latest odds Utah vs. Boise State. Before making any selections for Boise State vs. Utah State, you need to see college football predictions and betting tips from SportsLine’s advanced computer simulation model.

The Friday game can be watched live on CBS and streamed live on Paramount+ with the indispensable Premium plan.

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The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past six years, the proprietary computer model has generated an astounding profit of nearly $3,000 per player’s $100 on top-ranked college football picks for the difference. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, Model has his sights set on Utah State vs. Boise State and is just closing in on his picks and CFB predictions. You can head over to SportsLine now to see the models’ picks. Now, here are several college football odds and betting lines for Boise State vs Utah State:

  • Utah vs. Boise State spread: Boise State -17
  • Utah State vs. Boise State over/under: 51.5 points
  • Utah State vs. Boise State Fiscal Line: BSU -800, USU +550
  • USU: The Aggies are 4-3 versus the spread in their last seven games
  • BSU: The Broncos are 5-2 against the spread in their last seven games
  • Utah State vs. Boise State: Watch the picks at SportsLine
  • Utah State vs. Boise State Streaming: Paramount+

Featured game | Boise State Broncos vs Utah State Aggies

Why would you cover Utah?

The Aggies have solid offensive metrics on their side. Utah is in the top five in the Mountain West for total offense, generating over 350 yards per game and the kickers averaging 162.1 yards per contest. Calvin Tyler Jr. is the driver of the ground game, producing 978 rushing yards (No. 3 in the Mountain West) and 128 receiving yards this season. An outsider, Brian Cobbs is No. 4 in the conference with 769 yards, and he has 63 receptions this season.

On the other hand, Utah is particularly stingy on passing defense. The Aggies only allow 196.5 yards passing per game, and opponents average 6.8 yards per pass attempt while completing only 53.1% of passes. Utah State has 11 interceptions and 22 sacks in 11 games, which puts constant pressure on the opposition.

Why Boise State can be covered

Boise State should take advantage of Utah State’s offensive shortcomings in this game. Utah State has 16 interceptions in 11 games, more than any other Mountain West team, and the Aggies complete just 57.7% of passes. The Aggies also average 3.8 yards per carry on the ground, with Utah ranked in the bottom five of the Mountain West with a low efficiency rating of 32.5%. Boise State is also excellent on defense, including the best pass resistance in the conference.

The Broncos only allow 145.4 passing yards per game, with opponents throwing 11 interceptions, creating only nine passes, and completing just 49.8% of passes. Boise State is in the top three in the Mountain West in scoring defense (17.3 points allowed per game), total defense (268.0 yards allowed per game), rushing defense (122.6 yards allowed per game), and yards allowed per carry (3.6).

How to Make Utah vs. Boise State Picks

SportsLine’s model leans on the total, with each team posting a pusher expected to generate more than 75 yards. The model also says that one side of the spread hits roughly 60% of the simulations. You can only see CFB’s model picks at SportsLine.

So who will win Utah vs. Boise State? And which aspect of diffusion hits nearly 60% of the simulations? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the Utah vs. Boise State spread you need to jump on Friday, all from form crushing college football picks, and find out.

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