Top 5 college football predictions against the rivalry week spread on Friday

Top 5 college football predictions for this week. What are the best bets and picks for Friday’s Rivalry Week games?

Top 5 college football predictions against the rivalry week spread on Friday

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Results so far: 73-59-1

Welcome to Rivalry Week – that bittersweet time when the biggest, most fun games begin as the season draws to a close.

We’ve already had one big game — and to be honest, I’m kind of shocked Ole Miss missed it — with the Mississippi State taking the Egg Bowl, but that fuels Friday’s edition of the Top 5 Anti-Spread Prediction.

You have to adapt to the curve.

Because of all the big games, I’m going to separate this with five of the best predictions against the Friday spread, and then another five that go into Saturday morning.

Fair warning: 1) there are only 13 games on Friday, so nailing five of those is a hard climb statistically, but I’ll make it (I hope), and 2) Mountain West has been a bear this year to see against the spread, and it’s not just me that has issues with her.

So, of course, on the weirdest, most emotional week of the year, I massively go three games into the weirdest conference to pick, starting with…

Click each game to preview the game

5. New Mexico in Colorado

total point 35
pluck or pluck on me

All you are looking for is 20-16. The score on this one is too obscene to blow, but it actually makes sense—and was nicer at 34.5.

What happens when two bad teams play each other?

Sometimes one side appears truly Bad, and the score is battered – as New Mexico State beat New Mexico 21-6. Sometimes the two teams are really bad and play a really bad game – like Colorado State beating New Nevada 17-14.

And sometimes the two bad teams combine something shockingly fun.

This is the thing that gets blown up about competition week – it is the case for a lot of teams.

Forget the rivalry aspect, some of these teams just want to go into the sunset with something happy after a long and rough season. This means that both sides void the rules of the game to do anything to win.

Coaches take more chances, so why not? More fourth tuning attempts, more tricks, anything—that’s it.

Here’s the problem with that when it comes to New Mexico going to Colorado State – neither team can score.

Colorado State has yet to reach 20 points this season, and New Mexico has only surpassed 14 three times and it was once with a 41-0 win over Maine.

Again, though, these two teams are just as lousy.

New Mexico will allow more than 20 points on this one. Colorado State should give up about 14 to 17-year-olds.

Stay in West Mountain…

Next: Anti-Spread College Pick No. 4: Utah State at Boise State

4. Utah in Boise

Line Boise State -17
Choose ATS Utah

This is the other funky thing about competition week – sometimes one side will have a larger fish to fry.

Utah was solid.

They pulled away from an ugly 1-5 drop to start the season to win five of their last six games to get the qualifying ball. Sure, she beat the Air Force and four uggos to do it, but she pulled it off. Now is the time to cement the bowl appearance with a seventh win, a solid seal, and possibly a win over the eventual Mountain West champ.

I have to be more careful when I say teams don’t care or don’t care about the game. Of course Boise State wants to win this one. Like Herm said, you’re playing to win the game, it’s on a six-game winning streak in the Mountain West, and you’d like to go into the conference championship game with some momentum.

Oh yeah, the Mountain West Conference championship. Boise State already exists and hosts it.

That means 1) this is kind of Senior Day, but not really, since there’s one last home game, and 2) nah, this game doesn’t matter much. What matters is Boise State being healthy and ready to run in a short week with the biggest game coming up on Friday.

That is, and again, Utah State plays so well Boise State doesn’t have a realistic chance in the New Year’s Six game, so everyone could be forgiven if the coaching staff didn’t want to show anything interesting to the eventual conference championship opponent. .

Boise State should win this, but the 17 states are very rich.

Well, since I’m Mr. Mountain West, here’s another conference game…

Next: College football selection against #3 spread Wyoming at Fresno State

3. Wyoming in Fresno

Line Fresno State -15
Choose ATS Wyoming

Take all of the bull maven analysis I just mentioned about Boise State already being in the conference championship and apply it to Fresno State.

Wyoming doesn’t really need this game, but it can hold onto the second spot in the Mountain Division if Utah State loses to Boise State earlier in the day. They’ve already racked up seven wins — which locks them all in a bowl game — and this isn’t a Senior’s day or anything like it for Fresno State.

However, again, it’s a short week to play the conference championship, and Fresno State has to travel, too. That, and Wyoming has a style that might make this interesting.

The Cowboy offense has broken up the forward pass, but it’s good on the ground, it’ll get physical, and Fresno State hasn’t quite dealt with a bunch of killers in the Mountain West’s six-game winning streak.

It took a miracle to get San Diego State home, struggled at UNLV, and was held back by San Jose State.

Wyoming was shaken in Week 0 at Illinois, but was able to win three road games and lose at BYU by 14.

Again, like Boise State, Fresno State has to win its game before the bigger game, but it’s going to want to pitch in, get it done, and come out healthy.

He won’t pull out all the stops.

Next: College Football Playoff selection against Arizona State’s No. 2 spread

2. Arizona in the state of Arizona

Line Arizona -3.5
Choose ATS Arizona

I’m obviously in the college football business, so I’m not supposed to say that, but… sometimes the whole rivalry thing is a flaming bag of overstating things.

Rivalries might focus on teams a bit more because of what’s at stake, and fans certainly care a lot about winning over their annoying friends and acquaintances, but it’s still a matter of who can make the better save.

Arizona is better than Arizona State this season — and if a 70-7 loss demon a few years ago was in the equation, that counts, too.

That’s what happened the last time Arizona came to Tucson. It was 70-7, and only because Arizona didn’t want to be 84-7, or even worse. If a 63 can win and show mercy, ASU has done it, however, Sun Devil fans are more than happy to keep bringing that up as part of their five-game losing streak.

Arizona had turnover issues in last week’s 31-20 loss to Washington State, but is playing better overall. If the offense goes as it’s supposed to, winning this one won’t be a problem against an ASU defense that’s been hit by all but Stanford.

Outside of losing 15-14 to the Cardinals, the other eight Sun Devil defeats were by nine or more.

Next: College Football Playoff selection against Florida’s No. 1 spread at Florida State

1. Florida is in the state of Florida

Line Florida State -9.5
Choose ATS fl

There are two huge caveats before you dive in. 1) This was the “Go with your first answer” selection. When this first came up I thought it was a typo, so I’m sure I might be missing something obvious, and 2) Florida is very flaky.

Here’s my biggest problem with a very high prevalence – it’s not like the state of Florida has a huge number of killers.

The College Football Playoff committee sure loves Noles’ team, but that four-game winning streak came against Georgia Tech at home, on the road against weak Miami, on the road against decimated Syracuse—at least in some areas—and at home against Louisiana from the Sun Belt.

Lost to Wake Forest by ten, lost to NC State, and lost to Clemson. Yes, it’s the team that beat LSU, but that was right as the season got underway and it took a minor miracle to hang on for dear life.

I’m not saying Florida State is bad – far from it – but this is a great, big spread against a team with Florida firepower.

Can the Gator D come up with a third stoppage again in a running FSU game? Mostly not. Could the Gator O be snoring and coughing as much as he did in the bizarre 31-24 loss at Vanderbilt last week? definitely.

Does Florida have the ability to rise up and rip the roof off Florida State like they did in their 38-6 win over South Carolina? yes.

+285 on Moneyline isn’t exactly crazy if you’re lean – I think FSU wins – but it’s competitive week. Giving up 9.5 is a lot.

And if not, I’ll be here to take my block when I come back tomorrow for my top 5 anti-spread predictions for Saturday games.

Expert picks
Week 13: College Week 12: NFL
Week 13 game preview
big 12 | Big Ten | Pac 12 | SEC

The story originally appeared on College Football News

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